NSW has recorded 1281 new cases in the 24 hours to 8pm on Sunday, down from 1485 the previous day.
There have been five deaths in that 24 hour period.
About 750,000 people got vaccinated last week.
Modelling by NSW Health estimates that 560 people will be in intensive care units by November.
NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian is seeking to reassure people about the capacity of hospitals to deal with cases, saying surge capacity, with staff, in ICU is 1550. She says the peak for ICU is likely early next month.
There are 177 people in ICU with COVID-19, up from 175 yesterday.
At any point in time there will be about 400 people with non-COVID-19 related issues, she says.
She says the best modelling NSW Health has shows its cases are likely to reach a peak next week and therefore likely peak in intensive care beds in early to mid-October.
“We are likely to reach a peak in cases in the next week or so, that is what the modelling tells us, therefore are likely peak in intensive care beds required around early- mid October,” Berejiklian says.
She says the government will release the modelling.
“I do want to qualify a lot that to say that modelling depends on a number of things, a number of variables.
NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian says the state will still introduce new freedoms at 70 per cent vaccination despite this being when they anticipate hospital rates to peak.
“Absolutely. And the reason why it’s really important for us to get this information available to all of our citizens is that the biggest determinant of whether someone ends up in hospital or not, the greatest determinant, is whether they have been fully vaccinated.”